To continue with my previous analysis "AMC And The Real Potential Short Squeeze", I would like to address many "claimed to be experts" sources of data and their dubious analysis in this post.
**Disclaim: I am not a financial advisor and I am a retard. I will only use facts, media news, and the real statistics ever reported to authorities in this analysis
I came across an interview of a YouTuber with an expert in Wall Street. Here is the original link to the interview “Truth Behind The Short Squeeze w/ Expert Ihor Dunsaniwsky - Gamestop, WallStreetBets, &AMC”
Question: "Is it an estimate or is there a margin of error or is that dead set?"
Answer: "... So our number is...uh...uh...I think it is 80% of the time or within 5 to 10 percent of the actual number."
Confidence ratings are a dangerous metric, in particular, they can be prone to overconfidence biases(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overconfidence_effect). Firstly, to which metric does lhorn conjure his/her confidence rating? Secondly, an analyst shouldn’t selectively add confidence ratings and especially add one to an analysis post-facto. Personally I do not have a subscription to the S3 Partners feed but the published numbers do not currently include their so-called confidence rating. In-effect, the rating looks to be an excuse metric to ensure the analysis has an excusability factor should it be wrong. See:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjvQFtlNQ-M
80% of the time, it works every time...
The managing director at MKM partners V.S. companies which got heavily shorted and being pushed towards "bankruptcy".