This database maps out the evolving landscape of prediction market. Covering protocols, mechanisms, resolution methods, liquidity models, and notable tradeoffs. It’s meant as a living resource to help researchers, builders, and curious readers compare approaches at a glance. Curated by @Raed Ahmed as part of Trepa’s technical writing contest. Feel free to copy it, explore it in table, gallery, or board view for easier filtering. If you spot something missing or want to suggest updates, just reach out on X.
How to Read the Prediction Playbook
- Protocol → Platform name + logo.
- Tags → Filters (e.g., Regulated, On-chain, Reputation).
- Infrastructure → Core infrastructure (on-chain, off-chain, which blockchain/layer ?).
- Event Type → Binary (e.g., “Yes, No”), multiple choice, scalar (e.g., "What will the GDP be in Q4?").
- Trading Mechanism → Trading logic (order book, AMM, etc.).
- Resolution → How outcomes are determined.
- Liquidity Model → Where liquidity comes from.
- Settlement → How payouts are executed.
- Highlights → The main compromise made.
- X Link → protocol’s X account.
For Better Readability open as full page 😃
The Prediction Playbook