I studied in New England, which is the blue wall of those states as known. Not surprisingly, all colleges and universities are Democrats or pro Democrats. Based on my international student identity and what he did, I won’t support trump. But I really feel that around the Democrats live in their own bubble for a very long time losing motivation of change and communication with world beyond.
( Side Notes: The most ridiculous thing I found is that these colleges and universities have a bunch of dissatisfaction with the two parties instead of out first a bunch of shouting revolution of the Communist Party of the United States, itself reduced to a non-mainstream groups and cultural peacemaking enclosure is just, put up posters also take Lenin as an image...)
Two points might be consider as the reason cause failure:
Economically, naturally, it goes without saying. Although the United States economic indicators are good, but the macroeconomic data seems to be fully disconnected from the public's sense of body. The University of Michigan's Consumer Confidence Index, a measure of the public's physical sense of economic conditions, are not high, and many of Biden's important economic policies are embodied in the investment in specific industries, and it is difficult for the general public to feel.
This naturally affects the second important fundamental indicator, which is the desire for change. In this climate, the popular demand for change has become particularly loud. As seen in this election, blue states like California and New York have also seen a considerable shift to the right, with more voters than ever casting their ballots for Trump and the Republican Party. Behind this, there is also the fact that the state's problems are also being refracted through the election of a president. As soon as Harris entered the race, he tried to differentiate himself from Trump by branding himself as another change, protecting women's right to abortion, in addition to defending democracy as previously emphasized by Biden. But it seems that because the economic problems have always haunted the hearts of the people and have not dissipated, and Harris herself really does not have a good solution to the problem of inflation, and democracy can not be eaten for food, so it does not echo the aspirations of the people.
Obviously, they both brought up about change, but in comparison, demographically, voters have been changed also.
With Trump in control of the Republican Party, 8 years ago, there has been a fundamental reorganization of the composition of the electorate in both parties. This is reflected in all kinds of polarization and a kind of depolarization.
One is, education polarization: white voters with advanced degrees began to shift to the Democratic camp; urban-rural polarization: white blue collar people in rural areas shifted to the Republican Party; gender polarization: women were more supportive of Democrats, and men were more supportive of Republicans; and sexual minority polarization: the LGBTQ community swung full circle to the Democrats; Another is, Race, is depolarizing: minorities, especially Hispanic males, are beginning to turn Republican.
These changes didn't just happen in this election; it's been a long process. For example, the percentage of low-educated white voters supporting the Democrats, after reaching an all-time high of 64 percent in 1964, has been slowly declining until it is now in the early 30 percent range. Women's support for the Democrats, on the other hand, increased significantly after Reagan began supporting anti-abortion evangelicals.