These are previous questions that we’ve actually used before! At a competition, you’ll be forecasting on questions that look pretty similar to these.

A few of our favorites

• Will an AI music generator be reported to have a least a million users before August 1?
• Will Sweden by accepted into NATO before August 1?
• Will Barbara Kingsolver's book Demon Copperhead win the 2023 Pulitzer prize for fiction?
• What is the most compute that will be used to train an open-source language model released before August 1?
• Will a ceasefire be announced for the Russo-Ukrainian war by August 1?
• Will GPT-4 score better than any of the OPTIC teams on binary questions?

Full archive

Fall 2023

OPTIC F23 Boston Question Archive

OPTIC F23 Bay Area Question Archive

Spring 2023

OPTIC S23 Boston Question Archive