*We lack markets with imagination.

The internet won by letting people surface what matters - X for news, YouTube for videos, and Reddit for conversations. Prediction markets work the opposite way. Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket use a central team to decide what deserves a market.

We’re building Farline to change that.

Introduction

Farline is the fastest way for Crypto creators to turn their alpha calls into prediction markets. Our MVP is live as a Farcaster Mini App and we’re growing 30% week on week.

The way it works is a user can call our twitter bot and ask it to launch a price prediction market for a token that they are tracking. Their followers and haters can jump into the market right from the feed. Farline brings the prediction markets to the place where the conversations are already happening.

Demo: https://youtube.com/shorts/LUavpmANc8o?feature=share

About Us

We have known each other for 3 years now through a common friend and spent last 18 months working together on different experimental apps before landing on Farline.

Context

Our premise is based on the following three assumptions.

  1. A much larger universe of prediction markets can exist than what we see today.
  2. Those markets have real value, with enough people and capital interested in trading them.
  3. The creators who initiate these conversations are willing to create the markets themselves.

Does a larger universe exist

To arrive at an answer, we did an exercise where we worked with grok to look at thousands of tweets, then identified what percentage of them had a forecast or prediction and a relevant prediction market could have been launched with the tweet. As per our estimate, at least 5% of the tweets can have a corresponding prediction market today. A few examples

Accountability: Government, NGOs, Personal etc.