Most Important Concepts

Action Points

Chapter Recap

Part 1: Historionomy and the existence, nature and utility of Laws of History

1 - The cycles

• Civilization A:
  • Europe
  • Greece
  • Crete
• Civilization B:
  • USA
  • Rome
  • Mycenae
• Civilization C:
  • Arab-Muslims
  • Ancient Judaic
• Civilization D:
  • Seljuk-Ottoman
  • Assyro-Persian

2 - General remarks on the phenomenon

• Observations:
  • People’s and locations change, the supercycle is thus not purely cyclical.
  • The scale of the supercycle grows each time.
• Civilizations, like living organisms, are the product of mathematical rules, which result in the spontaneous emergence of stable and/or periodical complex structures from simple rules.
• Subcycles:
  • Sparta = Prussia
• History is probabilistic.
• A cycle appears through a series of uncertain trajectories, but with highly probable destinations.

Part 2: Prospective essay

3 - Futurology of the coming century, method and practice

4 - The two coming millenia: History of the third cyclic age