Background

Manifold right now takes too long to get feedback on your forecasts. The core loop of “bet on a market” ⇒ “market resolves” ⇒ “share winnings” usually takes weeks or months

Brainstorm: How can we shorten the feedback loop?

• Realtime betting on events ala Twitch stream, sports?
• Markets that resolve every single day?
• Futarchic-style game Manifold Plays Wordle, or chess, etc
• [s] more feedback on pnl changes, big moves inmarkets
  • [c] +1
• [c] social feedback
  • “bet on market” → “someone replies” / “someone likes”
• [c] exp points

Note how Ken (Sleeper) <> Austin found product market fit: instead of just taking a community approach where people posted news, they created their own draft game variant and encouraged their users to start playing in their platform